Pair #1794

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-DBRO

Valspar Championship: Will Daniel Brown make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Daniel Brown
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 499

YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.6400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Daniel Brown makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VAC26-DBRO

Will Daniel Brown lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Daniel Brown
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1040

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Daniel Brown is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:37:07Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2), and making the cut does not require having led after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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