Pair #1779

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXDPWORLDTOUR-HACPBM26-DBRA

Will Dan Bradbury win the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOUR
Entity: Dan Bradbury
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 12643

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Dan Bradbury wins the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HACPBM26-DBRA

Will Dan Bradbury lead at the end of Round 1 in the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD
Entity: Dan Bradbury
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 254

YES ask: 0.4900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Dan Bradbury is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:36:50Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not necessitate winning the tournament, and winning the tournament does not require leading after Round 1. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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