Pair #1775

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXDPWORLDTOUR-HACPBM26-MCOU

Will Martin Couvra win the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOUR
Entity: Martin Couvra
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22637

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Martin Couvra wins the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HACPBM26-MCOU

Will Martin Couvra lead at the end of Round 1 in the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD
Entity: Martin Couvra
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 345

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Martin Couvra is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:36:33Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not necessitate winning the tournament, and winning the tournament does not require leading after Round 1. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue