Pair #1772

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNCAAHOCKEY-26-BC

Will Boston College win the College Hockey National Championship?

Series: KXNCAAHOCKEY
Entity: Boston College
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 4218

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Boston College is the 2026 College Hockey National Championship winner, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNCAAHOCKEYGAME-26MAR201900BCCON-BC

Boston College vs Connecticut Winner?

Series: KXNCAAHOCKEYGAME
Entity: Boston College
Expiration: 2026-03-21T02:00:00Z
Volume: 221

YES ask: 0.6100
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.5800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Boston College is the winner (inclusive of overtime but excluding shootouts) of the Boston College vs Connecticut college hockey game scheduled for Mar 20, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: need more info
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:36:33Z

Reasoning: If Boston College wins the National Championship, they must have won all their tournament games. However, it depends on whether this specific BC vs Connecticut game is part of the path to the championship (e.g., a required tournament game). If this is a tournament game BC must win en route to the championship, then winning the championship implies winning this game. But if this is a regular season or non-required game, there is no implication. Need more info on tournament structure and whether this game is on the championship path.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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