Pair #1771

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-OSA

Will Naomi Osaka win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Naomi Osaka
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 1533

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Naomi Osaka wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAGRANDSLAM-26-NOSA

Will Naomi Osaka win a Tennis Grand Slam in 2026?

Series: KXWTAGRANDSLAM
Entity: Naomi Osaka
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 3248

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Naomi Osaka wins a tennis major (the Australian Open, the U.S. Open, the French Open, or Wimbledon) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:36:33Z

Reasoning: Winning a Grand Slam does not require winning the Miami Open, and the Miami Open is not a Grand Slam. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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