Pair #1770

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-OSA

Will Naomi Osaka win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Naomi Osaka
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 133328

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Naomi Osaka wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXMOWOMEN-26-OSA

Will Naomi Osaka win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Naomi Osaka
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 1533

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Naomi Osaka wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:36:33Z

Reasoning: The French Open and the WTA Miami Open are separate tournaments. Winning either one does not logically necessitate winning the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: 44.32% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9900
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: +40.10% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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