Pair #1768

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-AND

Will Mirra Andreeva win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Mirra Andreeva
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 93843

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mirra Andreeva wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR19ANDKES-AND

Will Mirra Andreeva win the Andreeva vs Kessler : Round Of 64 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Mirra Andreeva
Expiration: 2026-03-19T17:00:00Z
Volume: 1500

YES ask: 0.8000
NO ask: 0.2200
Last: 0.8000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mirra Andreeva wins the Andreeva vs Kessler professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:36:33Z

Reasoning: The French Open and the WTA Miami Open Round of 64 match are completely separate tournaments. Winning one does not necessitate winning the other in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.7100
Days to maturity: 9
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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