Pair #1767

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 2030

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Iva Jovic wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAGRANDSLAM-26-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win a Tennis Grand Slam in 2026?

Series: KXWTAGRANDSLAM
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 4621

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Iva Jovic wins a tennis major (the Australian Open, the U.S. Open, the French Open, or Wimbledon) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:36:33Z

Reasoning: Winning a Grand Slam does not require winning the Miami Open, and winning the Miami Open does not require winning a Grand Slam. These are entirely separate tournaments with no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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