Pair #1766

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 70447

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Iva Jovic wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXMOWOMEN-26-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 2030

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Iva Jovic wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:36:13Z

Reasoning: The French Open and WTA Miami Open are completely separate tournaments. Winning one does not logically necessitate winning the other in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: 0.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0000
Days to maturity: 9
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -4.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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