Pair #1764

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-SWI

Will Iga Swiatek win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Iga Swiatek
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 3662

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Iga Swiatek wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR19LINSWI-SWI

Will Iga Swiatek win the Linette vs Swiatek : Round Of 64 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Iga Swiatek
Expiration: 2026-03-19T17:00:00Z
Volume: 6878

YES ask: 0.9400
NO ask: 0.0700
Last: 0.9300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Iga Swiatek wins the Linette vs Swiatek professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:36:13Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Swiatek must win all her matches including the Round of 64 against Linette. So winning the tournament necessarily implies winning that match. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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