Pair #1762

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-SWI

Will Iga Swiatek win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Iga Swiatek
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 3662

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Iga Swiatek wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAGRANDSLAM-26-ISWI

Will Iga Swiatek win a Tennis Grand Slam in 2026?

Series: KXWTAGRANDSLAM
Entity: Iga Swiatek
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 6357

YES ask: 0.5700
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.4500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Iga Swiatek wins a tennis major (the Australian Open, the U.S. Open, the French Open, or Wimbledon) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:36:13Z

Reasoning: The WTA Miami Open is not a Grand Slam. Winning a Grand Slam does not imply winning Miami, and winning Miami does not imply winning a Grand Slam.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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