Pair #1760

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-SWI

Will Iga Swiatek win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Iga Swiatek
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 193270

YES ask: 0.2600
NO ask: 0.7500
Last: 0.2700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Iga Swiatek wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXMOWOMEN-26-SWI

Will Iga Swiatek win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Iga Swiatek
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 3662

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Iga Swiatek wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:36:13Z

Reasoning: The French Open and WTA Miami Open are separate tournaments. Winning one does not logically necessitate winning the other in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.7600
Days to maturity: 9
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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