Pair #1759

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-MBO

Will Victoria Mboko win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Victoria Mboko
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 4132

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Victoria Mboko wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR19BLIMBO-MBO

Will Victoria Mboko win the Blinkova vs Mboko : Round Of 64 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Victoria Mboko
Expiration: 2026-03-19T17:00:00Z
Volume: 5665

YES ask: 0.9100
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.9100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Victoria Mboko wins the Blinkova vs Mboko professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:36:13Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Mboko must win all her matches including the Round of 64 against Blinkova. So winning the tournament implies winning that match. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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