Pair #1757

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-MBO

Will Victoria Mboko win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Victoria Mboko
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 92179

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Victoria Mboko wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXMOWOMEN-26-MBO

Will Victoria Mboko win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Victoria Mboko
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 4132

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Victoria Mboko wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:36:13Z

Reasoning: The French Open and WTA Miami Open are completely separate tournaments. Winning one does not logically necessitate winning the other in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -98.40% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1200
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -102.62% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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