Pair #1754

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-ANI

Will Amanda Anisimova win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Amanda Anisimova
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 4217

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Amanda Anisimova wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAGRANDSLAM-26-AANI

Will Amanda Anisimova win a Tennis Grand Slam in 2026?

Series: KXWTAGRANDSLAM
Entity: Amanda Anisimova
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 3038

YES ask: 0.3700
NO ask: 0.8400
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Amanda Anisimova wins a tennis major (the Australian Open, the U.S. Open, the French Open, or Wimbledon) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:35:56Z

Reasoning: The Miami Open is not a Grand Slam. Winning a Grand Slam does not imply winning Miami, and winning Miami does not imply winning a Grand Slam. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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