Pair #1752

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-ANI

Will Amanda Anisimova win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Amanda Anisimova
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 130190

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Amanda Anisimova wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXMOWOMEN-26-ANI

Will Amanda Anisimova win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Amanda Anisimova
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 4217

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Amanda Anisimova wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:35:56Z

Reasoning: The French Open and the WTA Miami Open are completely separate tournaments. Winning one does not imply winning the other in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -79.62% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: 9
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -83.84% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue