Pair #1749

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-DBUR

Will Dean Burmester win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Dean Burmester
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 185069

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Dean Burmester wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-DBUR

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Dean Burmester finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Dean Burmester
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2430

YES ask: 0.9400
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Dean Burmester finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:35:56Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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