Pair #1747

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVR1LEAD-LIGSA26-TDET

Will Thomas Detry lead at the end of Round 1 in the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVR1LEAD
Entity: Thomas Detry
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 981

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Thomas Detry is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-TDET

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Thomas Detry finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Thomas Detry
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4900

YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.4700
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Thomas Detry finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:35:56Z

Reasoning: Top 10 finish and Round 1 lead are independent outcomes; neither logically necessitates the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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