Pair #1746

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-TDET

Will Thomas Detry win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Thomas Detry
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 149763

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0400

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Rules

If Thomas Detry wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-TDET

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Thomas Detry finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Thomas Detry
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4900

YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.4700
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Thomas Detry finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:35:56Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is within the top 10. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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