Pair #1742

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-TPIE

Will Thomas Pieters win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Thomas Pieters
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8996

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Thomas Pieters wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-TPIE

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Thomas Pieters finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Thomas Pieters
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 375

YES ask: 0.8500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Thomas Pieters finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:35:38Z

Reasoning: If Pieters wins the LIV Golf South Africa, he must finish top 10 (winning is position 1, which is within the top 10). However, finishing top 10 does not require winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue