KXNHL-26-CGY
Will Calgary Flames win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?
Series: KXNHL
Entity: Calgary Flames
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 29520
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
KXNHLWEST-26-CGY
Western Conference Finals Winner?
Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Calgary Flames
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 2250
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:02:51Z
Reasoning: To win the Stanley Cup Finals, Calgary must first win the Western Conference Finals. So winning the Cup implies winning the Western Conference Finals. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-11.06%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
31
Hurdle yield:
4.22%
Excess yield:
-15.27%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T09:31:22Z