Pair #1737

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-VHOV

Valspar Championship: Will Viktor Hovland make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Viktor Hovland
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 502

YES ask: 0.9100
NO ask: 0.1800
Last: 0.8300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Viktor Hovland makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VAC26-VHOV

Valspar Championship: Will Viktor Hovland finish top 10 in the 1st round?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Viktor Hovland
Expiration: 2026-03-19T22:30:00Z
Volume: 1182

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 0.8100
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Viktor Hovland finishes top 10 (including ties) in the first round of the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:35:38Z

Reasoning: Making the cut does not require finishing top 10 in Round 1, and finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut. These are independent outcomes.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.3800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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