Pair #1727

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-VHOV

Will Viktor Hovland win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Viktor Hovland
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 605437

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Viktor Hovland wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-VHOV

Valspar Championship: Will Viktor Hovland make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Viktor Hovland
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 502

YES ask: 0.9100
NO ask: 0.1800
Last: 0.8300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Viktor Hovland makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:35:18Z

Reasoning: To win the Valspar Championship, Hovland must complete all rounds, which requires making the cut. If he wins, he necessarily made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not mean he wins.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue