Pair #1723

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-VHOV

Will Viktor Hovland win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Viktor Hovland
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3572555

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Viktor Hovland wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-VHOV

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Viktor Hovland
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 4121

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Viktor Hovland wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:35:18Z

Reasoning: The Masters is one of the four majors listed in the KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-VHOV rules. If Hovland wins the Masters, he has won a major in 2026, so that market must resolve Yes. The reverse does not hold — he could win a different major.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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