Pair #171

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLCENTRAL-26-WPG

Will Winnipeg Jets win the NHL Central Division?

Series: KXNHLCENTRAL
Entity: Winnipeg Jets
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 2878

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025-2026 NHL Central Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLWEST-26-WPG

Western Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Winnipeg Jets
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 13573

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Winnipeg Jets wins the Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:02:51Z

Reasoning: A team can win the Western Conference without winning the Central Division (could be a wild card or another division winner), and winning the Central Division does not guarantee winning the Western Conference. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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