Pair #1690

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-PCAN

Will Patrick Cantlay win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Patrick Cantlay
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 579288

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Cantlay wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-PCAN

Valspar Championship: Will Patrick Cantlay make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Patrick Cantlay
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 235

YES ask: 0.8700
NO ask: 0.1900
Last: 0.8700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Cantlay makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:34:17Z

Reasoning: To win the Valspar Championship, Cantlay must play all four rounds, which requires making the cut. Winning the tournament logically necessitates having made the cut. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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