Pair #1688

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-PCAN

Will Patrick Cantlay win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Patrick Cantlay
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3690723

YES ask: 0.0060
NO ask: 0.9960
Last: 0.0060

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Rules

If Patrick Cantlay wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-PCAN

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Patrick Cantlay
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 3919

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Cantlay wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:34:17Z

Reasoning: The Masters is one of the four major championships. If Cantlay wins the Masters, he necessarily wins a PGA Tour Major in 2026. The reverse does not hold — he could win a different major.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0460
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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