Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-PCAN
Valspar Championship: Will Patrick Cantlay make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Patrick Cantlay
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 235
YES ask: 0.8700
NO ask: 0.1900
Last: 0.8700
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Patrick Cantlay makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-PCAN
Will Patrick Cantlay win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Patrick Cantlay
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3690723
YES ask: 0.0060
NO ask: 0.9960
Last: 0.0060
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Patrick Cantlay wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:34:17Z
Reasoning: Winning the Masters and making the cut at the Valspar Championship are independent events across different tournaments.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.1960
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A