Pair #1683

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-PCAN

Valspar Championship: Will Patrick Cantlay make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Patrick Cantlay
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 235

YES ask: 0.8700
NO ask: 0.1900
Last: 0.8700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Cantlay makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VAC26-PCAN

Will Patrick Cantlay lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Patrick Cantlay
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 20464

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Cantlay is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:34:17Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could withdraw or collapse in Round 2). Making the cut does not require having led after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.2200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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