Pair #1674

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-APUT

Valspar Championship: Will Andrew Putnam make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 485

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.5800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Andrew Putnam makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-APUT

Valspar Championship: Will Andrew Putnam finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2041

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Andrew Putnam finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:33:58Z

Reasoning: Making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish, and finishing top 10 does imply making the cut but the question asks about logical necessity in either direction. Actually, top 10 does imply making the cut — but making the cut does not imply top 10. So there is a one-way implication: top 10 → made cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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