Pair #1663

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-APUT

Valspar Championship: Will Andrew Putnam finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13065

YES ask: 0.1900
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Andrew Putnam finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-APUT

Valspar Championship: Will Andrew Putnam make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 485

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.5800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Andrew Putnam makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:33:39Z

Reasoning: If Putnam finishes top 20, he must have made the cut. The reverse does not hold: making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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