Pair #1662

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-APUT

Will Andrew Putnam win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 297984

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Andrew Putnam wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-APUT

Valspar Championship: Will Andrew Putnam finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13065

YES ask: 0.1900
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Andrew Putnam finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:33:39Z

Reasoning: If Putnam wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily top 20. The reverse does not hold: finishing top 20 does not mean he won.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue