Pair #1657

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-DRIL

Will Davis Riley win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Davis Riley
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22406

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Davis Riley wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-DRIL

Valspar Championship: Will Davis Riley make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Davis Riley
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1468

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Davis Riley makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:33:20Z

Reasoning: Winning the Valspar Championship requires playing all four rounds, which means the player must have made the cut. Making the cut does not guarantee winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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