Pair #1643

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-DRIL

Valspar Championship: Will Davis Riley finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Davis Riley
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15581

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Davis Riley finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-DRIL

Valspar Championship: Will Davis Riley make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Davis Riley
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1468

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Davis Riley makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:33:03Z

Reasoning: If Davis Riley finishes top 20 in the tournament, he must have made the cut (only players who make the cut complete all rounds and receive a final finish position). Making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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