Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNHLATLANTIC-26-TB
Will Tampa Bay Lightning win the NHL Atlantic Division?
Series: KXNHLATLANTIC
Entity: Tampa Bay Lightning
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 83156
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025-2026 NHL Atlantic Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-TB
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?
Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Tampa Bay Lightning
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 12710
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the Tampa Bay Lightning are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:02:51Z
Reasoning: Winning the Atlantic Division guarantees a playoff berth. However, making the playoffs does not necessitate winning the division (wild card teams qualify without winning their division).
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$2.0000
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A