Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNHLATLANTIC-26-TB
Will Tampa Bay Lightning win the NHL Atlantic Division?
Series: KXNHLATLANTIC
Entity: Tampa Bay Lightning
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 83156
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025-2026 NHL Atlantic Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNHLEAST-26-TB
Eastern Conference Finals Winner?
Series: KXNHLEAST
Entity: Tampa Bay Lightning
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 323883
YES ask: 0.1900
NO ask: 0.8200
Last: 0.1900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Tampa Bay Lightning wins the Eastern Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:02:34Z
Reasoning: Winning the Eastern Conference Finals does not require winning the Atlantic Division (wild card teams can advance), and winning the Atlantic Division does not guarantee winning the Eastern Conference Finals.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.1900
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A