Pair #162

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLATLANTIC-26-TB

Will Tampa Bay Lightning win the NHL Atlantic Division?

Series: KXNHLATLANTIC
Entity: Tampa Bay Lightning
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 83156

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025-2026 NHL Atlantic Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLEAST-26-TB

Eastern Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLEAST
Entity: Tampa Bay Lightning
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 323883

YES ask: 0.1900
NO ask: 0.8200
Last: 0.1900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tampa Bay Lightning wins the Eastern Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:02:34Z

Reasoning: Winning the Eastern Conference Finals does not require winning the Atlantic Division (wild card teams can advance), and winning the Atlantic Division does not guarantee winning the Eastern Conference Finals.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue