Pair #1611

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAJORTOP10-MAJORS26-XSCH

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Xander Schauffele finish top 10?

Series: KXPGAMAJORTOP10
Entity: Xander Schauffele
Expiration: 2026-07-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 15456

YES ask: 0.2600
NO ask: 0.8600
Last: 0.2600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Xander Schauffele finishes top 10 (including ties) in all 4 golf major tournaments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-XSCH

Will Xander Schauffele win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Xander Schauffele
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1656198

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Xander Schauffele wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:32:23Z

Reasoning: The Valspar Championship is not a major tournament, so winning it has no bearing on finishing top 10 in all 4 majors. No implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: 147.86% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.8700
Days to maturity: 56
Hurdle yield: 4.21%
Excess yield: +143.65% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue