Pair #1607

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-XSCH

Will Xander Schauffele win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Xander Schauffele
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 11053195

YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0030

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Rules

If Xander Schauffele wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-XSCH

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Xander Schauffele
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 17202

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Xander Schauffele wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:32:03Z

Reasoning: The Masters is one of the four golf majors. If Schauffele wins the Masters, he necessarily wins a major in 2026. The reverse does not hold — he could win a different major without winning the Masters.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1380
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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