KXNHL-26-TB
Will Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?
Series: KXNHL
Entity: Tampa Bay Lightning
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 2723303
YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9300
Last: 0.0800
KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-TB
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?
Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Tampa Bay Lightning
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 12710
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:02:34Z
Reasoning: Winning the Stanley Cup requires qualifying for the playoffs. If Tampa Bay wins the Cup, they must have been a playoff qualifier. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-99.97%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.9300
Days to maturity:
30
Hurdle yield:
4.22%
Excess yield:
-104.19%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T15:32:48Z