Pair #1565

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-BHOR

Valspar Championship: Will Billy Horschel make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Billy Horschel
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8042

YES ask: 0.9700
NO ask: 0.0500
Last: 0.9600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Billy Horschel makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VAC26-BHOR

Will Billy Horschel lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Billy Horschel
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 60588

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Billy Horschel is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:30:54Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could withdraw or collapse), and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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