Pair #1556

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-RNEE

Valspar Championship: Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2222

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-RNEE

Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 316747

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:30:37Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters has no logical connection to finishing top 10 at the Valspar Championship. These are separate tournaments.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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