Pair #155

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNBAWEST-26-DEN

Will the Denver win the 2026 Pro Basketball Western Conference Championship?

Series: KXNBAWEST
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-06-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 1310279

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Denver wins the 2026 Pro Basketball Western Conference Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXRECORDNBABEST-26-DEN

Who will have the best record in the league?

Series: KXRECORDNBABEST
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 4499

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Denver has the best regular season record in the league in the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Season, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:02:34Z

Reasoning: Having the best record in the league does not guarantee winning the Western Conference Championship (could lose in playoffs), and winning the Western Conference does not require having the best overall record.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: 64.32% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9600
Days to maturity: 30
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: +60.10% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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