Pair #1534

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-BKOE

Will Brooks Koepka win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1920685

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brooks Koepka wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-BKOE

Valspar Championship: Will Brooks Koepka make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3426

YES ask: 0.7600
NO ask: 0.3500
Last: 0.7600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brooks Koepka makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:29:56Z

Reasoning: To win the Valspar Championship, Koepka must play all rounds, which requires making the cut. Winning necessitates having made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not mean he wins.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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