Pair #1519

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VAC26-BKOE

Will Brooks Koepka lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 50370

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brooks Koepka is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VAC26-BKOE

Valspar Championship: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 10 in the 1st round?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-03-19T22:30:00Z
Volume: 927

YES ask: 0.1900
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.1800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brooks Koepka finishes top 10 (including ties) in the first round of the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:29:36Z

Reasoning: If Koepka is the outright leader after Round 1, he is by definition in 1st place, which is within the top 10. Leading R1 necessarily implies a top-10 finish in R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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