Pair #1515

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-BKOE

Valspar Championship: Will Brooks Koepka make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3426

YES ask: 0.7600
NO ask: 0.3500
Last: 0.7600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brooks Koepka makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VAC26-BKOE

Will Brooks Koepka lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 50370

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brooks Koepka is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:29:36Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut — a player could have a poor Round 2 and still miss the cut. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.3700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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