Pair #1498

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-DTHO

Valspar Championship: Will Davis Thompson finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Davis Thompson
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2652

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Davis Thompson finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-DTHO

Valspar Championship: Will Davis Thompson finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Davis Thompson
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 14350

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Davis Thompson finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:28:47Z

Reasoning: A top 10 finish is necessarily also a top 20 finish. A top 20 finish does not imply a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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