Pair #1490

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-NHOJ

Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 729510

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nicolai Hojgaard wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-NHOJ

Valspar Championship: Will Nicolai Hojgaard make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 421

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.1400
Last: 0.6300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nicolai Hojgaard makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:28:47Z

Reasoning: To win the tournament, a player must make the cut. Winning necessitates making the cut, but making the cut does not necessitate winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue