Pair #149

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNBAGAME-26MAR18DENMEM-DEN

Denver at Memphis Winner?

Series: KXNBAGAME
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-03-19T03:30:00Z
Volume: 42942

YES ask: 0.8800
NO ask: 0.1300
Last: 0.8800

Rules

If Denver wins the Denver at Memphis professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNBAWEST-26-DEN

Will the Denver win the 2026 Pro Basketball Western Conference Championship?

Series: KXNBAWEST
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-06-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 1310279

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Denver wins the 2026 Pro Basketball Western Conference Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:02:16Z

Reasoning: Winning one regular season game does not logically necessitate winning the Western Conference Championship, and winning the conference does not require winning any specific regular season game. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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