Pair #1487

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VAC26-NHOJ

Valspar Championship: Will Nicolai Hojgaard finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3499

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolai Hojgaard finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-NHOJ

Valspar Championship: Will Nicolai Hojgaard make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 421

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.1400
Last: 0.6300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolai Hojgaard makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:28:29Z

Reasoning: If Hojgaard finishes top 5 in the tournament, he must have made the cut to compete in the final rounds. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 5 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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