Pair #148

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNBAGAME-26MAR18DENMEM-DEN

Denver at Memphis Winner?

Series: KXNBAGAME
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-03-19T03:30:00Z
Volume: 42942

YES ask: 0.8800
NO ask: 0.1300
Last: 0.8800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Denver wins the Denver at Memphis professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXRECORDNBABEST-26-DEN

Who will have the best record in the league?

Series: KXRECORDNBABEST
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 4499

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Denver has the best regular season record in the league in the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Season, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:02:16Z

Reasoning: Winning one specific game does not logically necessitate having the best record in the league (other games determine that too), and having the best record does not require winning any single specific game (could achieve it via other combinations). No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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